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QB Brock Purdy Thread

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QB Brock Purdy Thread

  • KiwiM
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 1,425
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.

A glass half full for next season would say

- 4th placed schedule
- first proper offseason in 4 years
- likely to have a much better rest differential compared to last season (I believe our rest differential was one of the worst in history in 2024)
- coaching staff improvements (even Schneider got a first year bump in performance when he was brought in as Special teams coordinator)
- picking 11th and top 3rd of every round
- unlikely to have quite as many impactful injuries in 2024
- no Super Bowl loser hangover (go look at Super Bowl losers - aside from the Chiefs they all take a step back the next year)
- Brock's new contract won't kick in this upcoming season
- NFC is still weak
Originally posted by KiwiM:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.

A glass half full for next season would say

- 4th placed schedule
- first proper offseason in 4 years
- likely to have a much better rest differential compared to last season (I believe our rest differential was one of the worst in history in 2024)
- coaching staff improvements (even Schneider got a first year bump in performance when he was brought in as Special teams coordinator)
- picking 11th and top 3rd of every round
- unlikely to have quite as many impactful injuries in 2024
- no Super Bowl loser hangover (go look at Super Bowl losers - aside from the Chiefs they all take a step back the next year)
- Brock's new contract won't kick in this upcoming season
- NFC is still weak

that's a good list.
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.

For crying out loud man...how are you this wrong so often?

Brock's new deal isn't going to give him a 50+ million dollar cap hit next year. There's no way you don't understand this concept so you're either playing dumb or really don't know what you're talking about.
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.

For crying out loud man...how are you this wrong so often?

Brock's new deal isn't going to give him a 50+ million dollar cap hit next year. There's no way you don't understand this concept so you're either playing dumb or really don't know what you're talking about.

we were talking about 2025 and beyond
Btw here are some fun charts/metrics to show where Purdy stood in this "regression year"

Chart showing the so called "easy button" used by playcallers - Screens, playaction, RPOs.

Chart showing how often QBs take sacks when pressured and how often they "destroy" plays with bad passes, bad runs or taking a sack

Tight window chart since we talked about that a few pages ago

Fun list based on Total Season EPA which is sure to make folks happy

And another one for some of our fans of PFF even though apparently only QBs use the eye test

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.

For crying out loud man...how are you this wrong so often?

Brock's new deal isn't going to give him a 50+ million dollar cap hit next year. There's no way you don't understand this concept so you're either playing dumb or really don't know what you're talking about.

we were talking about 2025 and beyond

Yes...next year(season) is 2025
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by tankle104:
I don't think he peaked. I think he actually grew in a lot of ways outside of what we've seen the first two years but there was a steep decline of what is usually around him this year - which made the stuff he made look easy, much more difficult.

Brock by no means was perfect and has things to get better at, but there were a plethora of issues around him that also hurt him, not support him.

but… his major concern in college was that he didn't really improve a ton from frosh to senior year (specifically stats) but idk if that's cause of the diminish around him or he just has a really high floor?

I still believe in him. He isn't on Josh Allen's level - where he can cover up a ton of talent issues weekly, but I think he is easily a top 10 qb and if we can fix the stuff we did horrible this year - we will be contending again.

WR sep was awful this year. Run game was super inconsistent and unreliable in the pass game. Pass blocking was trash. Those things make
the offense very predictable.


Hmmm. Our 2 main RBs this year both averaged over 5 YPC, though, right? Mason hit at 5.2 yards a pop and Guernendo was @ 5.0ypc.

Per PFF, the OLine graded out at 13th overall, with a PBWR @ 14th overall. Both of these are above average, in contrast to what you are saying.

Are you sure that everything around him was absolutely horrible?

Not everything but using PFF grades to grade OL is straight up disingenuous. For instance they don't negatively grade OLmen who let defenders go unblocked. So Spencer Burford in OT on a key 3rd down was a net neutral grade wise for them.

But if you want to bring up PFF ratings for the OL why not remind people about the so called pass pro Brock had last year? You know when it was 26th?


1) I edited the post b4 u could catch it obviously, but ESPIN had our PBWR @ 14th as well.

2) I'm not grading OLinemen. Simply responded to a post saying they were downright terrible.

3) Sure,...Bring it up. What about it? It enhances my point...which is obviously leaning towards "can we REALLY say the pass blocking was terrible?" and "can we REALLY lay the blame squarely on the OLine?"

If we really were 26th the year before, then thanks for the layup.

But on your crusade against PFF and ESPN,... either our guys were "winning blocks" along the lines of what they're saying, or both companies are completely making things up, and you have your own much better ratings regarding how often we were winning blocks?

Give the better info so we can discuss it. I'm still falling back to questioning how the poster may be exaggerating things. Exaggeration doesnt raise a player's actual level of play,...remember?

Once again...what happened to the eye test you loved so much a few pages ago?

What layup you taking exactly? The whole pitch that you can't pay Purdy because he requires everything to be great for him.

Nothing's changed. I asked a question,... I didn't make a proclamation that our OL is Top 5 in the league (something we'll hear about Brock constantly...though most move it to Top 10).

Nothing can replace watching games. Stats are great to use as evidence of things and it is then open for discussion and interpretation.

Thesis statement followed by supporting details,...in the form of observations and data. At least, that's what I learned in middle school?

If the OL's pass blocking was 26th last year and 14th this year by the same metric,....then let's not try to pin his underperformance on them. Not buying it without better observations/info given.

Original question asked: Compared to the rest of the NFL,...was the OL's pass blocking really horrible as a whole this past year? Keep in mind that all of this stuff is relative.
[ Edited by random49er on Jan 28, 2025 at 1:19 PM ]
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.
i was hoping you could answer the question when i was trying to be serious here

i did answer the question.
you answered, but you didn't answer the question i asked.

So will you answer?
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.
i was hoping you could answer the question when i was trying to be serious here

i did answer the question.
you answered, but you didn't answer the question i asked.

So will you answer?

i am no crystal ball. i'll do another entry in PYMWYMI but i need the offseason to play out and the thread to be created. then we will talk
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
in all seriousness, you really think we are currently a 6 win team in 2025 and beyond?

we are older and coming off injury vs 2023. so it may look more like 2024. a big help was QB1 at 900k. that going away is a big blow to the roster also.

we are trending the wrong direction. we need to see how the offseason goes to get the full measure.
i was hoping you could answer the question when i was trying to be serious here

i did answer the question.
you answered, but you didn't answer the question i asked.

So will you answer?

i am no crystal ball. i'll do another entry in PYMWYMI but i need the offseason to play out and the thread to be created. then we will talk
no crystal ball, but you do like to post confidently about being a 6 win team and we're on the decline.. now you want to get cold feet when i directly ask you?

stand behind your words
Originally posted by random49er:
Hmmm. Our 2 main RBs this year both averaged over 5 YPC, though, right? Mason hit at 5.2 yards a pop and Guernendo was @ 5.0ypc.

Per PFF, the OLine graded out at 13th overall, with a PBWR @ 14th overall.

ESPN had us at 14th overall at PBWR as well.

ALL of these ratings above are above average, in contrast to what you are saying.

Are you sure that everything around him was absolutely horrible?

Good job with the stats.
Originally posted by random49er:
Luckily for us,...Mahomes and his gang is kinda blocking things over there in the AFC,...lol. Take that guy out of the their conference and they'd both have made it by now.

To lose to Mahomes in the SB.
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
no crystal ball, but you do like to post confidently about being a 6 win team and we're on the decline.. now you want to get cold feet when i directly ask you?

stand behind your words

no cold feet here. i reserve the right to view the offseason and see how it goes. patience, grasshopper.
Originally posted by KiwiM:
Originally posted by DRCHOWDER:

finally a respectful credible source shows us real news.

Cohn posts this so he can turnaround and say it's overpay when the deal is done when this was never a realistic figure in the first place.

Like clockwork.

Cap hits. He didnt mention them in that projection (the title anyways,...didnt click). But yea what cap hits are guaranteed is the news to really wait for.
Originally posted by SteveWallacesHelmet:
Originally posted by random49er:
Hmmm. Our 2 main RBs this year both averaged over 5 YPC, though, right? Mason hit at 5.2 yards a pop and Guernendo was @ 5.0ypc.

Per PFF, the OLine graded out at 13th overall, with a PBWR @ 14th overall.

ESPN had us at 14th overall at PBWR as well.

ALL of these ratings above are above average, in contrast to what you are saying.

Are you sure that everything around him was absolutely horrible?

How about you do the QB now.....

not my type
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